Simple Trading rules
27 Mar 2011 Leave a Comment
in Finance Tags: Trading rules
The following are some of the simple trading thumb rules, which will help you to trade successfully. These rules have been taken from Gann rules, formulated by WD Gann (1875-1955), a successful trader whose trading rules are considered the gospel truth even now for a trader.
1. Capital Management
Never lose more than 10% of your capital in a single trade, so that if you lose, you still have 90% of your capital left to trade better the next time, and your capital will never be wiped out completely.
2. Stop loss
Never make a trade without putting a stop loss at the time of initiating the trade and never shift or cancel it.
3. Booking Profit
Never allow a profit position to run into a loss. Also do not be in a hurry to book profit, but protect your profits with trailing stop loss ie progressively increasing the stop loss level as the price increase.
4. Averaging
Never average when in loss but only when in profit. Averaging in profit (pyramiding) gives you maximum profit without risk.
5. Overnight Position
Never sell what shows profit and keep what shows loss. If you want to keep overnight position square off loss making ones and keep the profit making ones.
Warren Buffet’s money making secrets
21 Feb 2011 Leave a Comment
in Finance Tags: Warren Buffet
With an estimated fortune of $62 billion, Warren Buffett is the richest man in the entire world. In 1962, when he began buying stock in Berkshire Hathaway, a share cost $7.50. Today, Warren Buffett, 81, is Berkshire’s chairman and CEO, and one share of the company’s class A stock worth close to $119,000. He credits his astonishing success to several key strategies. Here are some of Warren Buffett’s money-making secrets — and how they could work for you
1. Reinvest Your Profits:
When you first make money, you may be tempted to spend it. Don’t. Instead, reinvest the profits. Warren Buffett learned this early on. In high school, he and a pal bought a pinball machine to pun in a barbershop. With the money they earned, they bought more machines until they had eight in different shops. When the friends sold the venture, Warren Buffett used the proceeds to buy stocks and to start another small business. By age 26, he’d amassed $174,000 — or $1.4 million in today’s money. Even a small sum can turn into great wealth.
2. Be Willing To Be Different:
Don’t base your decisions upon what everyone is saying or doing. When Warren Buffett began managing money in 1956 with $100,000 cobbled together from a handful of investors, he was dubbed an oddball. He worked in Omaha, not Wall Street, and he refused to tell his parents where he was putting their money. People predicted that he’d fail, but when he closed his partnership 14 years later, it was worth more than $100 million. Instead of following the crowd, he looked for undervalued investments and ended up vastly beating the market average every single year. To Warren Buffett, the average is just that — what everybody else is doing. to be above average, you need to measure yourself by what he calls the Inner Scorecard, judging yourself by your own standards and not the world’s.
3. Never Suck Your Thumb:
Gather in advance any information you need to make a decision, and ask a friend or relative to make sure that you stick to a deadline. Warren Buffett prides himself on swiftly making up his mind and acting on it. He calls any unnecessary sitting and thinking “thumb sucking.” When people offer him a business or an investment, he says, “I won’t talk unless they bring me a price.” He gives them an answer on the spot.
4. Spell Out The Deal Before You Start:
Your bargaining leverage is always greatest before you begin a job — that’s when you have something to offer that the other party wants. Warren Buffett learned this lesson the hard way as a kid, when his grandfather Ernest hired him and a friend to dig out the family grocery store after a blizzard. The boys spent five hours shoveling until they could barely straighten their frozen hands. Afterward, his grandfather gave the pair less than 90 cents to split. Warren Buffett was horrified that he performed such backbreaking work only to earn pennies an hour. Always nail down the specifics of a deal in advance — even with your friends and relatives.
5. Watch Small Expenses:
Warren Buffett invests in businesses run by managers who obsess over the tiniest costs. He once acquired a company whose owner counted the sheets in rolls of 500-sheet toilet paper to see if he was being cheated (he was). He also admired a friend who painted only on the side of his office building that faced the road. Exercising vigilance over every expense can make your profits — and your paycheck — go much further.
6. Limit What You Borrow:
Living on credit cards and loans won’t make you rich. Warren Buffett has never borrowed a significant amount — not to invest, not for a mortgage. He has gotten many heart-rendering letters from people who thought their borrowing was manageable but became overwhelmed by debt. His advice: Negotiate with creditors to pay what you can. Then, when you’re debt-free, work on saving some money that you can use to invest.
7. Be Persistent:
With tenacity and ingenuity, you can win against a more established competitor. Warren Buffett acquired the Nebraska Furniture Mart in 1983 because he liked the way its founder, Rose Blumkin, did business. A Russian immigrant, she built the mart from a pawnshop into the largest furniture store in North America. Her strategy was to undersell the big shots, and she was a merciless negotiator. To Warren Buffett, Rose embodied the unwavering courage that makes a winner out of an underdog.
8. Know When To Quit:
Once, when Warren Buffett was a teen, he went to the racetrack. He bet on a race and lost. To recoup his funds, he bet on another race. He lost again, leaving him with close to nothing. He felt sick — he had squandered nearly a week’s earnings. Warren Buffett never repeated that mistake. Know when to walk away from a loss, and don’t let anxiety fool you into trying again.
9. Assess The Risk:
In 1995, the employer of Warren Buffett’s son, Howie, was accused by the FBI of price-fixing. Warren Buffett advised Howie to imagine the worst-and-best-case scenarios if he stayed with the company. His son quickly realized that the risks of staying far outweighed any potential gains, and he quit the next day. Asking yourself “and then what?” can help you see all of the possible consequences when you’re struggling to make a decision — and can guide you to the smartest choice.
10. Know What Success Really Means:
Despite his wealth, Warren Buffett does not measure success by dollars. In 2006, he pledged to give away almost his entire fortune to charities, primarily the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. He’s adamant about not funding monuments to himself — no Warren Buffett buildings or halls. “I know people who have a lot of money,” he says, “and they get testimonial dinners and hospital wings named after them. But the truth is that nobody in the world loves them. When you get to my age, you’ll measure your success in life by how many of the people you want to have love you actually do love you. That’s the ultimate test of how you’ve lived your life.”
Are you wealthy?
15 Feb 2011 Leave a Comment
in Finance Tags: Finance, thumb rules to measure your wealth
Here are some immutable financial rules that can help you with quick estimates. These are back of the envelope calculations may not be accurate to the last decimal but they give you a fair idea of what you are looking for. Use them to get a grip on your finances and make informed investment decisions.
1. Are you wealthy?
A thumb rule formula used by Thomas J Stanley & William D Danko in The Millionaire Next Door, a book that studies self made American Millionaires, can help determine if you are wealthy.
Age x Pre-tax Income /10 = Net worth
The logic behind this formula is that the older you are and the more money you make, the more net worth you should have. Dividing 10 is a rule of thumb that fits American conditions. So if you are a 35 year old living in US with an annual income of $ 600,000 a year, your net worth should be $ 2.1 million ie 35 x 600,000 /10 = 2,100,000 for you to be considered wealthy. If you are 20 year old and you make $300,000 a year you should be wealthy if your net worth is greater than $ 600,000.
Indian Context:
Indian financial experts argue that a divisor that is closer to 20 would be more realistic in the Indian economy. According to them you should use a sliding scale linked to age. At age 40, someone earning Rs 7.5 lac a year should have a net worth of Rs 15 lac. For a 20 year old the divisor should be 25. Hence a 20 year old earning Rs 3 lac a year should have a net worth of Rs 2.4 lac.
2. How fast will your money grow?
Rule of 72 (double your investment)
This tells you in how much time will your money double. Divide 72 by the interest rate you are compounding your money with and you will arrive at the number of years it will take to double in value.
If the interest rate is 9% then you money will double in 72/9 = 8 years
Rule of 114 (triple your investment)
Use this to estimate how long will it take to triple your money. It works the same way as the rule of 72
Rule of 144 (Quadruple your investment)
This tells you in how much time will your investment quadruple in value. For example, if the interest is 12%, Rs 10,000 becomes Rs 40,000 in 12 years.
3. How fast will your corpus erode?
Rule of 70
This is a useful rule for predicting your future buying power. Divide 70 by the current inflation rate to know how fast will the value of your investment get reduced to half its present value. This is especially useful for retirement planning, as it affects the way you set up your monthly withdrawals. However do remember that the inflation rate varies from time to time.
Inflation rate of 7% will reduce the value of your money to half in 70 / 7 = 10 years
4. How much we get from various investments? – The 10,5,3 rule
This is a net little rule that states that you can expect returns of 10% from equities, 5% from bonds and 3% from liquid cash and cash like accounts.
5. The emergency fund rule
Put away at least 3-6 months’ worth of expenses in a liquid savings account to ensure it is available at short notice.
6. How much to invest? Pay yourself first rule
Right from your first salary, put away a little for your retirement. Experts say 10% of your income should go into this. It is important to increase the amount as your income rises over the years.
If every month you invest Rs 5,000 in a plan that grows 8.5% annually and increase your investment by 10% every year, after 30 years you will have Rs 2.5 cr
7. How much to invest in Equity? 100 minus your age rule
This rule is used for asset allocation. Subtract your age from 100 to find how much of your portfolio should be allocated to equities.
For example at the age of 30, invest 70% of your investment in equity and balance in debt instruments like bonds and fixed deposits.
8. How much home you should buy?
Another rule of thumb for housing is that you should buy a house that costs no more than two and a half to three times your annual income. For example, if you and your spouse together earn Rs 10 lacs per year, you shouldn’t spend more than Rs 30 lacs on a home
9. How Much Debt Should You Have?
Ideally, no debt would be the best answer, but you have to realize that for some assets it is almost required you borrow money, such as buying a house. Most experts agree that your total monthly debt payments shouldn’t exceed 36% of your gross monthly income. This is a good starting point, and over time if you can reduce that number you’ll be in pretty good shape
(Source – Economic Times Wealth and others)
